谁将在今年的奥斯卡金像奖上大获全胜?

谁将在今年的奥斯卡金像奖上大获全胜?

首页角色扮演突击莉莉LastBullet更新时间:2024-07-30

2023 年,票房可能由《奥本海默》主导,但随着对今年奥斯卡颁奖典礼的期待越来越高,其他几部背后炒作和营销要少得多的电影将在 2024 年奥斯卡金像奖上大放异彩。

从令人毛骨悚然的法庭惊悚片《堕落剖析》到马丁·斯科塞斯令人痛心的《花月*手》,如果芭比粉色不是你的颜色,今年有很多值得奥斯卡奖的电影在角逐最佳影片。

一位黑人作家在《美国小说》中与自己作为作家的身份和责任作斗争,既喜剧又令人心碎。 布拉德利·库珀 (Bradley Cooper) 与凯里·穆里根 (Carey Mulligan) 一起在 Maestro 中执导了一部令人印象深刻的传记片,而在其他地方,儿时的朋友相遇并渐行渐远,然后再次相遇,结局令人震惊。不,这不是一天,而是席琳·宋的前世。

《奥本海默》的基里安·墨菲(Cillian Murphy)是最佳男主角的热门人选,而《花月*手》的莉莉·格莱斯顿(Lily Gladstone)和《可怜的东西》(Poor Things)的艾玛·斯通(Emma Stone)迄今为止在颁奖典礼上并驾齐驱。那么,谁会在当晚获得梦寐以求的金像呢?

第96届奥斯卡金像奖颁奖典礼将在洛杉矶欢呼好莱坞的杜比剧院举行,吉米·金梅尔将主持,主持人包括赞达亚、阿尔·帕西诺、克里斯·海姆斯沃斯、奥克塔维亚·斯宾塞、凯瑟琳·奥哈拉和柯惠泉。

在这里,娱乐专栏作家卡尔·普施曼(Karl Puschmann)和资深生活方式作家贝瑟尼·雷茨玛(Bethany Reitsma)预测了大赢家。

最佳男主角

被提名者

布拉德利·库珀(Bradley Cooper),大师

科尔曼·多明戈,鲁斯汀

保罗·吉亚马蒂(Paul Giamatti),《The Holdovers》

基里安·墨菲,奥本海默

杰弗里·赖特(Jeffrey Wright),《美国小说》

谁应该赢?

卡尔: 布拉德利·库珀 (Bradley Cooper) 希望最终凭借他在 Maestro 中饰演著名作曲家伦纳德·伯恩斯坦 (Leonard Bernstein) 而获得奥斯卡奖。然而,他在竞选活动中击中了几个流浪汉的音符,这可能会减少他的机会。首先,他透露自己花了六年时间为这部电影的胜利指挥场景进行训练——现在看来,努力工作和努力是可笑的品质——其次,他接受了一次采访,他说他不会为他刚出生的婴儿挨子弹。呜。

向 Cooper 展示如何制作模因的是 Paul Giamatti。在获得金球奖最佳男主角奖后,他被拍到在一家快餐店点夜宵,穿着燕尾服,随意地拿着奖杯。金球奖的胜利通常是奥斯卡荣耀的前兆,但我不认为吉亚马蒂会赢得双冠王。

贝丝: 如果奥斯卡最佳男主角奖是关于努力的分数,那么布拉德利·库珀当然应该获奖——如上所述,他学习了六年的指挥来为这个角色做准备,并学习弹钢琴。据说,伦敦交响乐团的成员在现实生活中为这部电影和指挥表演,不得不再看一眼,以证明这不是伯恩斯坦本人走进片场。

也就是说,他面临着一些关于假鼻子的批评,它可能会获得奥斯卡最佳化妆和发型设计奖,但可能不会因其佩戴者而获得最佳男主角奖。

谁会赢?

卡尔: 很难忽视基里安·墨菲在克里斯托弗·诺兰的传记片《奥本海默》中作为“原子弹之父”的爆炸性表演。这部电影经常被誉为“杰作”,墨菲激动人心的激烈表演是诺兰建立自己愿景的基础。

在一部有分量、奇妙且相当可怕的著名电影中,作为历史人物的表演广受赞誉,这似乎是一个肯定的赌注。

贝丝: 基里安·墨菲(Cillian Murphy)已经获得了美国演员工会奖,金球奖和英国电影学院奖,他很可能会与奥斯卡奖一起完成。他耐心地等待着自己在诺兰的一部电影中大放异彩的时刻,他曾出演过《敦刻尔克》、《黑暗骑士》三部曲和《盗梦空间》,而那个时候已经到来。

最佳女主角

被提名者

安妮特·贝宁,尼亚德

莉莉·格莱斯顿,《花月*手》

桑德拉·许勒(Sandra Hüller),《跌倒剖析》

凯里·穆里根(Carey Mulligan),大师

艾玛·斯通,《可怜的东西》

谁应该赢?

卡尔: 莉莉·格莱斯顿(Lily Gladstone)在马丁·斯科塞斯(Martin Scorsese)的《花月*手》(Killers of the Flower Moon)中的表演*死了它。它不仅获得了广泛的好评,还使她成为第一位获得金球奖最佳女主角并被提名为奥斯卡最佳女主角的美国原住民。其他任何一年,她都可能和奥斯卡一起离开颁奖典礼。

艾玛·斯通(Emma Stone)在《可怜的东西》(Poor Things)中的巡回演出引起了人们的注意,并引起了所有人的议论。就像电影本身一样无所畏惧和古怪,她肯定会成为当之无愧的赢家。可悲的是,我没有看到它发生。

贝丝: 难怪《堕落剖析》会角逐最佳影片、最佳导演和最佳女主角——它应该去许勒吗?在整部电影中,你不太确定该相信她的角色桑德拉·沃伊特(Sandra Voyter)是无辜的还是有罪的,这要归功于许勒对道德灰色角色的描绘。但《花月*手》的莉莉·格莱斯顿(Lily Gladstone)已经因其创造历史的表演而赢得了赞誉,看到她接受胜利,我不会感到惊讶。

谁会赢?

卡尔: 现在我并不是说她的表现不值得获胜。如果有的话,安妮特·贝宁(Annette Bening)在体育传记片《尼亚德》(Nyad)中饰演的坚定的游泳运动员戴安娜·尼亚德(Diana Nyad)在与联合主演朱迪·福斯特(Jodie Foster)的反弹中充满了活力,力量和情感。这两位好莱坞重量级人物令人赏心悦目,但无法回避的事实是,这部电影不如竞争对手强大。

冒着听起来像阴谋论者的风险,学院有时会将奥斯卡奖颁发给“轮到”它的人。这是贝宁第四次获得最佳女主角提名,也是第五次提名——她还获得了最佳女配角提名——所以她当之无愧。所以我称之为:2024 年终于是她大放异彩的时候了。

贝丝:艾玛·斯通(Emma Stone),如果她从英国电影学院奖(Baftas)和评论家选择奖(Critics' Choice Awards)中获得任何好处的话,尽管我认为格莱斯顿(Gladstone)可以让她为她的钱而奔波。

最佳男配角

被提名者

斯特林·布朗(Sterling K. Brown),《美国小说》

罗伯特·德尼罗,《花月*手》

小罗伯特·唐尼,《奥本海默》

瑞恩·高斯林,芭比娃娃

马克·鲁法洛,《可怜的东西》

谁应该赢?

卡尔: 如果你问互联网,这场胜利应该是瑞恩·高斯林(Ryan Gosling)和他对芭比娃娃中塑料himbo Ken的热情描绘的灌篮高手。但我觉得,除了提名之外,奥斯卡不太可能认可一部基于儿童玩具的电影——无论它多么具有颠覆性和文化重要性。

当然,你永远不能排除罗伯特·德尼罗和他的银幕强度,尤其是与他经常合作的斯科塞斯搭档时。冒着听起来很严峻的风险,他们俩都相处得有点融洽,没有太多的仪式可以参加。学院当然可以授予他胜利,作为传奇人物的最后欢呼。

贝丝:是我,嗨,我是互联网,是我。我选择的最佳男配角是瑞恩·高斯林(Ryan Gosling)——他将每一丝精力都投入到自己的表演中,从充满活力的舞蹈数字到获得评论家选择奖的《我只是肯》。在这份名单上的所有严肃表现中,他是一股新鲜空气。有人递给我一杯啤酒。

谁会赢?

卡尔: 好莱坞最喜欢的就是一个伟大的救赎故事,而小罗伯特·唐尼(Robert Downey Jr)就是最好的故事之一。他从最高层跌落到最底层,从那以后,他一直在努力戒除毒瘾,偿还了对社会的债务,并稳步地回到了阶梯上,成为 Tinseltown 最赚钱的明星之一。让我们面对现实吧,他永远不会因为钢铁侠而获得奥斯卡奖。但是在 2023 年最著名和最重要的电影之一中担任联合主演?嗯,上面写满了“胜利”。

贝丝:小罗伯特·唐尼(Robert Downey Jr)或马克·鲁法洛(Mark Ruffalo)都是复出表演的光辉典范,证明了漫威电影之后还有生命。但我认为胜利最终会属于小罗伯特·唐尼。

最佳女配角

被提名者

艾米莉·布朗特,奥本海默

丹妮尔·布鲁克斯(Danielle Brooks),《紫色》(The Color Purple)

阿美莉卡·费雷拉,芭比娃娃

朱迪·福斯特,尼亚德

Da'Vine Joy Randolph,《The Holdovers》

谁应该赢?

卡尔: 如果朱迪·福斯特(Jodie Foster)因在《尼亚德》(Nyad)中的工作而获得奥斯卡奖,这不仅是恰当的,也是当之无愧的——她在所有方面都非常出色——这对世界各地50岁以上的女性来说也是一个胜利。

Da'Vine Joy Randolph 拥有一长串令人印象深刻的奖项和提名,但她在 The Holdovers 中催人泪下的表演标志着她首次获得学院的认可。奥斯卡很可能会加入金球奖和英国电影学院奖的行列。

贝丝:《留守者》的达文·乔伊·伦道夫是赢得奥斯卡奖的热门人选,这是有充分理由的:她饰演单身母亲玛丽·兰姆,哀悼在越南战争中失去儿子,这是这部电影的情感核心。但可以说,描绘一个难以让人喜欢的角色需要更多的技巧,而这正是艾米莉·布朗特(Emily Blunt)作为奥本海默的妻子凯蒂(Kitty)所做的。

谁会赢?

卡尔: 一个似乎不太可能改变的奥斯卡趋势是大扫荡。今年很可能属于奥本海默,艾米莉·布朗特(Emily Blunt)将获得W。这并不是说这是一个噱头。一个不那么优秀的女演员不可能将同样的人性灌输给奥本海默尖锐、酗酒、共产主义的妻子。为此,她减薪了。这很可能会让她在颁奖时间获得金钱。

贝丝:艾米莉·布朗特。我们很可能会在周一看到奥本海默的收购。

最佳影片

被提名者

美国小说

跌倒剖析

芭比

The Holdovers(留守者)

花月*手

主人

奥本海默

前世

可怜的东西

感兴趣的区域

谁应该赢?

卡尔: 虽然如果芭比娃娃把它带回家会很迷宫,但由于上述原因,我们并不真正看好它的机会。可怜的东西是如此奇怪和独特,以至于对于学院里更闷的成员来说,它可能太遥远了。凭借其 70 年代的风味、情感冲击力和聪明的幽默,The Holdovers 是对学院辉煌时代的回归,并且完全取悦了人群,给了它一个真正的机会。而《美国小说》尖锐的政治评论、文学根源和睿智的幽默,使它获胜的机会非常真实。

贝丝: 我知道奥斯卡颁奖典礼上没有平局,但如果有,我会说巴本海默。这是逃避吗?

去年,《芭比娃娃》和《奥本海默》将我们带回电影院,激发了无数的服装、主题派对和社交媒体上的激烈辩论。但最重要的是,这两部电影都提醒了我们,无论我们喜欢黑暗的历史剧还是植根于怀旧的糖果粉红色幻想世界,我们都非常喜欢去看电影。

谁会赢?

卡尔:奥本海默。你不需要成为核科学家就能计算出奥本海默会赢。这是一部史诗般的惊悚片,讲述了人类最可怕的发现之一,它基于一个真实的故事,让你头晕目眩,并在最后质疑一切。有什么不爱的?

贝丝: 很难想象除了奥本海默的合奏演员挤满奥斯卡舞台之外还有什么。

最佳导演

被提名者

乔纳森·格雷泽(Jonathan Glazer),《兴趣区》

约尔戈斯·兰西莫斯,《可怜的东西》

克里斯托弗·诺兰,《奥本海默》

马丁·斯科塞斯,《花月*手》

贾斯汀·特里特(Justine Triet),《堕落剖析》

谁应该赢?

卡尔: 格蕾塔·葛韦格(Greta Gerwig)为芭比娃娃。在玩具公司及其高管的鹰眼下制作一部关于女权主义和存在主义的彩色电影,同时对时代精神产生积极影响,制作一部不完全糟糕或类似于公司现金掠夺的电影,这是我书中的一项奥斯卡获奖成就。可惜她没有被提名......

和德尼罗一样,斯科塞斯也是一位老大师,而《花月*手》是一部不容忽视的震撼力的电影。他会赢得一场庆祝的胜利,还是学院会传递火炬?

贝丝:就我个人而言,我很想看到特里特接受最佳导演奖。《堕落剖析》规模小,规模小,但却在《*手》和《奥本海默》等奢华史诗中脱颖而出。

她是第八位获得提名的女性,并可能成为第四位获得提名的女性,加入Chloé Zhao和我们自己的Dame Jane Campion的行列。这会稍微减轻格蕾塔·葛韦格(Greta Gerwig)被冷落的痛苦。

谁会赢?

卡尔: 我选择克里斯托弗·诺兰。在一部非凡的电影作品中,奥本海默是他最好的电影之一。这是一场有头脑的大预算奇观。它不仅让评论家大吃一惊,而且还在去看电影已经过时的时候吸引了大量观众走进电影院。这可能是关于人类最糟糕的一面,但我认为诺兰将度过他一生中最美好的周日晚上。

贝丝:我毫不怀疑,当晚,诺兰将获得另一个当之无愧的最佳导演奖。

OPINION

In 2023, the box office may have been dominated by Barbenheimer but, as anticipation builds for this year’s Oscars ceremony, several other films with considerably less hype and marketing behind them are set to give them a run for their money at the 2024 Academy Awards.

From the chilling courtroom thriller Anatomy of a Fall to Martin Scorsese’s harrowing Killers of the Flower Moon, there are plenty of Oscar-worthy films in the running for Best Picture this year if Barbie pink isn’t your colour.

A black writer wrestles with his identity and responsibility as an author in American Fiction, by turns comedic and heartbreaking. Bradley Cooper conducts an impressive biopic alongside Carey Mulligan in Maestro, while elsewhere, childhood friends meet and drift apart and meet again, with a devastating conclusion. No, it’s not One Day, it’s Celine Song’s Past Lives.

Oppenheimer’s Cillian Murphy is a strong favourite to take out Best Actor, while Killers of the Flower Moon’s Lily Gladstone and Poor Things’ Emma Stone have been neck-and-neck on the awards circuit so far. So, who will get the coveted gold statues on the night?

The 96th Academy Awards will be held at the Dolby Theatre at Ovation Hollywood in Los Angeles, with Jimmy Kimmel set to host and presenters including Zendaya, Al Pacino, Chris Hemsworth, Octavia Spencer, Catherine O’Hara and Ke Huy Quan.

You can follow along on Monday, March 11, here on the NZ Herald for all the best red-carpet moments, the glitz and glamour, the triumphs and snubs on the day.

Here entertainment columnist Karl Puschmann and senior lifestyle writer Bethany Reitsma predict the big winners.

Best Actor

The nominees

Bradley Cooper, Maestro

Colman Domingo, Rustin

Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers

Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

Who should win?

Karl: Bradley Cooper was hoping to finally score (ho-ho) an Oscar win with his portrayal of famed composer Leonard Bernstein in Maestro. However, he hit a couple of bum notes on the campaign trail which could see his chances diminished. Firstly he became a meme by revealing he spent six years training for the film’s triumphant conducting scene – it appears hard work and effort are now laughable qualities to possess – and secondly by giving an interview in which he said he wouldn’t have taken a bullet for his newborn baby. Wump-wump.

Showing Cooper how to meme was Paul Giamatti. After winning the Golden Globe for Best Actor he was snapped ordering a late-night snack at a fast-food joint, decked out in his tux and casually holding his trophy. Golden Globe wins are usually precursors to Oscar glory but I don’t think Giamatti will win the double.

Beth: If the Best Actor Oscar was all about points for effort, surely Bradley Cooper deserves the win – as mentioned above, he studied conducting for six years to prepare for the role, as well as learning to play the piano. It’s said that members of the London Symphony Orchestra, who performed for the film and under the conductor in real life, had to take a second look to prove it wasn’t Bernstein himself walking onto set.

That said, he’s faced some criticism over that prosthetic nose, which will likely earn the Oscar for Best Make-up and Hairstyling but probably not the Best Actor for its wearer.

Who will win?

Karl: It’s hard to look past Cillian Murphy’s explosive performance as “the father of the atomic bomb” in Christopher Nolan’s biopic Oppenheimer. The film has been regularly hailed as a “masterpiece” and Murphy’s electrifying and intense performance is the foundation that allowed Nolan to build his vision.

A widely applauded performance as a historic figure in a celebrated film that’s weighty, wondrous and quite terrifying seems like a sure bet.

Beth: Cillian Murphy already has the Screen Actors’ Guild award, the Golden Globe and the Bafta, and he’s likely to round that out with the Oscar. He’s waited patiently for his time to shine as the lead in one of Nolan’s films, having appeared in Dunkirk, the Dark Knight trilogy and Inception, and that time has come.

Best Actress

The nominees

Annette Bening, Nyad

Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon

Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall

Carey Mulligan, Maestro

Emma Stone, Poor Things

Who should win?

Karl: Lily Gladstone killed it with her performance in Martin Scorsese’s Killers of the Flower Moon. Not only did it receive ample critical acclaim, it also saw her entering the history books as the first Native American to win the Best Actress Golden Globe and be nominated for the Best Actress Oscar. Any other year, she’d probably be leaving the ceremony with Oscar.

Emma Stone’s tour de force performance in Poor Things turned heads and got everyone talking. As fearless and odd as the movie itself, she’d certainly make a worthy winner. Sadly, I don’t see it happening.

Beth: It’s no wonder Anatomy of a Fall is up for Best Picture and Best Director as well as Best Actress – should it go to Hüller? Throughout the film, you’re not quite sure whether to believe her character Sandra Voyter, accused of pushing her husband out of a window to his death, is innocent or guilty, thanks to Hüller’s depiction of a morally grey character. But Killers of the Flower Moon’s Lily Gladstone has already earned accolades for her history-making performance, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see her accept the win.

Who will win?

Karl: Now I’m not saying her performance is not worthy of the win. If anything, Annette Bening’s portrayal of determined swimmer Diana Nyad in the sports-biopic Nyad is full of vim, power and emotion as she bounces off co-star Jodie Foster. These two Hollywood heavyweights are a joy to watch but there’s no getting around the fact that the film is not as strong as its rivals.

At the risk of sounding like a conspiracist, the Academy does, on occasion, hand out the Oscar to someone whose “turn” it is. This is Bening’s fourth nomination for Best Actress and fifth overall – she’s also received a Best Supporting Actress nod — so she’s more than deserving. So I’m calling it: 2024 is finally her time to shine.

Beth: Emma Stone, if her haul from the Baftas and the Critics’ Choice awards is anything to go by, though I think Gladstone could give her a run for her money.

Best Supporting Actor

The nominees

Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction

Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon

Robert Downey Jr, Oppenheimer

Ryan Gosling, Barbie

Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things

Who should win?

Karl: If you ask the internet, the win should be a slam dunk for Ryan Gosling and his enthusiastic portrayal of the plastic himbo Ken in Barbie. But I feel it’s unlikely the Academy will recognise a film based on a children’s toy – no matter how subversive and culturally important it may be – beyond a nomination.

And of course, you can never rule out Robert De Niro and his screen intensity, especially when paired with his frequent collaborator, Scorsese. At the risk of sounding grim, they’re both getting on a bit and don’t have too many ceremonies left to attend. The Academy could certainly award him the win as a legend’s last hurrah.

Beth: It’s me, hi, I’m the internet, it’s me. My pick for Best Supporting Actor is Ryan Gosling – he threw every last ounce of his Kenergy into his performance, from the vigorous dance numbers to the Critics’ Choice award-winning I’m Just Ken. Amid all the serious performances on this list, he’s a breath of fresh air. Someone pass me a brewski beer.

Who will win?

Karl: Hollywood loves nothing more than a great redemption story and Robert Downey Jr has one of the best. He fell from the very top to the very bottom and has since done the work to beat addiction, paid his debt to society and steadily battled his way back up the ladder to become one of the most bankable stars in Tinseltown. Let’s face it, he’s never gonna get an Oscar for Iron-Man. But a co-starring role in one of 2023′s most celebrated and important films? Well, that’s got “win” written all over it.

Beth: Robert Downey Jr or Mark Ruffalo are both shining examples of comeback performances that prove there is life after Marvel movies. But I think the win will ultimately go to RDJ.

Best Supporting Actress

The nominees

Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple

America Ferrera, Barbie

Jodie Foster, Nyad

Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Who should win?

Karl: Not only would it be appropriate and deserved if Jodie Foster won the Oscar for her work in Nyad – she’s brilliant in everything – it would also be a win for women over 50 everywhere.

Da’Vine Joy Randolph has a long and impressive list of award wins and nominations but her tear-jerking performance in The Holdovers marks her first recognition from the Academy. The Oscar could very well join the Golden Globe and Bafta awards already sitting on her mantlepiece.

Beth: The Holdovers’ Da’Vine Joy Randolph is the favourite to win the Oscar, and for good reason: her turn as single mother Mary Lamb mourning the loss of her son to the Vietnam War is the emotional heart of the film. But it arguably takes more skill to portray a character who’s difficult to like, and that’s exactly what Emily Blunt did as Oppenheimer’s wife Kitty.

Who will win?

Karl: An Oscar trend that seems unlikely to change is the big sweep. This year most likely belongs to Oppenheimer, which would see Emily Blunt taking the W. That’s not to say it’s a gimme. A lesser actress would not have been able to instil the same level of humanity into Oppenheimer’s acerbic, alcoholic, communist wife. And she took a pay cut to do so. That could very well land her right in the money come award time.

Beth: Emily Blunt. We could very well see an Oppenheimer takeover on Monday.

Best Picture

The nominees

American Fiction

Anatomy of a Fall

Barbie

The Holdovers

Killers of the Flower Moon

Maestro

Oppenheimer

Past Lives

Poor Things

The Zone of Interest

Who should win?

Karl: While it would be ah-maze-ing if Barbie brought it home, we don’t really fancy its chances for the aforementioned reasons. Poor Things is so weird and unique that it’s probably too far out there for the stuffier members of the Academy. With its 70s flavour, emotional punch and smart humour, The Holdovers is a throwback to the Academy’s glory days and is a total crowd-pleaser, giving it a real shot. And the pointed political commentary, literary roots and intelligent humour of American Fiction makes its chance of winning very real indeed.

Beth: I know there’s no such thing as a tie at the Oscars, but if there was, I’d say Barbenheimer. Is that a cop-out?

Barbie and Oppenheimer lured us back to cinemas last year, inspiring countless costumes, themed parties and fierce debates on social media. But above all, both films reminded us how much we love going to the movies, whether we love dark historical dramas or candy-pink fantasy worlds rooted in nostalgia.

Who will win?

Karl: Oppenheimer. You don’t need to be a nuclear scientist to calculate that Oppenheimer is going to win. It’s an epic thriller about one of humanity’s most terrifying discoveries that’s based on a true story and leaves your head spinning and questioning everything at the end of it. What’s not to love?

Beth: It’s hard to imagine anything other than the ensemble cast of Oppenheimer crowding the Oscars stage for this one.

Best Director

The nominees

Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things

Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

Who should win?

Karl: Greta Gerwig for Barbie. Making a splenderiffic technicolour film about feminism and existentialism under the eagle eye of a toy company and their executives while also positively influencing the zeitgeist and making a movie that didn’t completely suck or resemble a corporate cash grab is an Oscar-winning achievement in my book. Shame she wasn’t nominated …

Like De Niro, Scorsese is an old master and Killers of the Flower Moon is an incredibly powerful picture that can’t be overlooked. Will he get a celebratory win or will Academy pass the torch?

Beth: Personally, I’d love to see Triet accept the award for Best Director. Anatomy of a Fall is small-scale and sparing but stands out among the lavish epics like Killers and Oppenheimer.

She’s only the eighth woman to have been nominated and could become the fourth to win it, joining the ranks of Chloé Zhao and our very own Dame Jane Campion. It would ease the pain of Greta Gerwig’s snub slightly.

Who will win?

Karl: I’m picking Christopher Nolan. In an exceptional filmography, Oppenheimer ranks right at the top as one of his best. It’s a big-budget spectacle with brains. Not only did it blow away critics, it also pulled audiences into cinemas in huge numbers at a time when going to the movies was falling out of vogue. It may be about the worst of humanity but I’m thinking Nolan is going to have the best Sunday night of his life.

Beth: I have no doubt that, on the night, Nolan will claim yet another well-deserved Best Director award.

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